{"id":6534,"date":"2019-04-02T20:34:37","date_gmt":"2019-04-02T17:34:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/?p=6534"},"modified":"2019-04-02T20:34:39","modified_gmt":"2019-04-02T17:34:39","slug":"economistul-sef-al-agentiei-moodys-economia-globala-la-un-pas-de-recesiune-cum-arata-scenariul-conturat-de-mark-zandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/economistul-sef-al-agentiei-moodys-economia-globala-la-un-pas-de-recesiune-cum-arata-scenariul-conturat-de-mark-zandi\/","title":{"rendered":"Economistul \u0219ef al agen\u021biei Moody\u2019s: Economia global\u0103, la un pas de recesiune. Cum arat\u0103 scenariul conturat de Mark Zandi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Economia global\u0103 este &#8220;foarte probabil&#8221; s\u0103 intre \u00eentr-o recesiune dac\u0103 SUA \u0219i China nu ajung la o \u00een\u021belegere comercial\u0103 \u00een termen de trei luni. Este avertismentul lui Mark Zandi, economist \u0219ef al Agen\u021biei americane de rating Moody`s. El a ad\u0103ugat c\u0103 un studiu efectuat de Moody&#8217;s a ar\u0103tat recent c\u0103 \u00eencrederea companiilor se afl\u0103 la cel mai sc\u0103zut nivel de la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul crizei financiare de acum 10 ani. Predic\u021bia sa se bazeaz\u0103 pe sentimentul de afaceri &#8220;extraordinar de fragil&#8221;, un curent ap\u0103rut \u00een ultima vreme \u0219i care este rezultatul unei lupte tarifare prelungite, care a \u00eenceput anul trecut, \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 mari economii din lume. SUA \u0219i China vor \u00eencerca s\u0103 ajung\u0103 din nou la o \u00een\u021belegere. Reprezentan\u021bii ambelor \u021b\u0103ri sunt a\u0219teptate s\u0103 se \u00eent\u00e2lneasc\u0103 la Washington s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na aceasta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"350\" data-attachment-id=\"6535\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/economistul-sef-al-agentiei-moodys-economia-globala-la-un-pas-de-recesiune-cum-arata-scenariul-conturat-de-mark-zandi\/24cf7ba7-aa34-4d0f-99f7-b633289ac192\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?fit=600%2C350&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"600,350\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-title=\"24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?fit=600%2C350&amp;ssl=1\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?resize=600%2C350&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6535 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?w=600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?resize=300%2C175&amp;ssl=1 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 600px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 600\/350;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Sentimentul de afaceri de pe tot globul este extraordinar de fragil. (\u2026) \u00centreprinderile sunt \u00eentr-adev\u0103r pe margine \u0219i cred c\u0103 este din cauza acestui r\u0103zboi comercial. \u0218i dac\u0103 aceast\u0103 problem\u0103 nu este rezolvat\u0103 \u00een urm\u0103toarele trei luni, cred c\u0103 o recesiune global\u0103 este foarte probabil\u0103&#8221;, a declarat economistul \u0219ef pentru CNBC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dac\u0103 discu\u021biile dintre SUA \u0219i China se \u00eencheie f\u0103r\u0103 o \u00een\u021belegere comercial\u0103, acest lucru ar putea afecta \u0219i mai mult \u00eencrederea oamenilor de afaceri. Rezultatul ar putea determina companiile s\u0103 reduc\u0103 angaj\u0103rile. C\u00e2nd se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 acest lucru, rata \u0219omajului cre\u0219te, determin\u00e2nd consumatorii s\u0103-\u0219i piard\u0103 \u00eencrederea \u00een economie, a explicat economistul \u0219ef al agen\u021biei de rating. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Diferen\u021ba dintre o economie \u00een expansiune \u0219i o economie \u00een recesiune este pur \u0219i simplu credin\u021b\u0103 &#8211; credin\u021ba c\u0103 economia va fi \u00een regul\u0103. \u0218i dac\u0103 pierzi credin\u021ba, nici o banc\u0103 central\u0103 nu o va relua, este o recesiune&#8221;, a spus Zandi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Problema unui Brexit f\u0103r\u0103 acord<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La riscurile cu care se confrunt\u0103 economia global\u0103 se adaug\u0103 scenariul tot mai probabil ca Marea Britanie s\u0103 p\u0103r\u0103seasc\u0103 Uniunea European\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 un acord de retragere.Parlamentarii au respins de trei ori acordul divor\u021bului negociat de Theresa May cu liderii europeni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Dac\u0103 vom avea un Brexit f\u0103r\u0103 acord, cu siguran\u021b\u0103 economia Regatului Unit \u0219i economia UE vor fi \u00een recesiune \u0219i cred c\u0103 \u0219i restul economiei globale se va apropia de acela\u0219i rezultat negativ. Deci, cred c\u0103 un Brexit f\u0103r\u0103 acord reprezint\u0103 o adev\u0103rat\u0103 problem\u0103&#8221;, a spus el.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Totodat\u0103, Frederic Neumann, director general HSBC, a apreciat c\u0103 semnele unei cre\u0219teri mai lente \u00een mai multe economii europene importante amenin\u021b\u0103 \u021b\u0103rile la nivel mondial. ,,Dac\u0103 Brexit-ul va \u00eempinge Europa \u00eentr-o recesiune, economiile emergente &#8211; \u00een special cele din Asia &#8211; ar putea fi lovite din dou\u0103 p\u0103r\u021bi\u201d, a mai declarat acesta. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anali\u0219tii sus\u021bin c\u0103 o Europ\u0103 mai slab\u0103 ar conduce la un raliu al dolarului american, deoarece investitorii vor c\u0103uta investi\u021bii mai sigure, a spus el. &#8220;Un dolar mai puternic nu este niciodat\u0103 bun pentru pie\u021bele emergente\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat Neumann.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Agen\u021bia Moody\u2019s este responsabil\u0103 pentru 32% din pia\u0163a ratingurilor din UE.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economia global\u0103 este &#8220;foarte probabil&#8221; s\u0103 intre \u00eentr-o recesiune dac\u0103 SUA \u0219i China nu ajung la o \u00een\u021belegere comercial\u0103 \u00een termen de trei luni. Este avertismentul lui Mark Zandi, economist \u0219ef al Agen\u021biei americane de rating Moody`s. El a ad\u0103ugat c\u0103 un studiu efectuat de Moody&#8217;s a ar\u0103tat recent c\u0103 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6535,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"wpzoom_is_breaking":1,"source_url":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[17,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economic","category-international"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paH2fj-1Ho","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/24CF7BA7-AA34-4D0F-99F7-B633289AC192.jpeg?fit=600%2C350&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6534"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6534\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6536,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6534\/revisions\/6536"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6535"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}