{"id":13088,"date":"2023-11-21T21:58:24","date_gmt":"2023-11-21T19:58:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/?p=13088"},"modified":"2023-11-21T21:58:26","modified_gmt":"2023-11-21T19:58:26","slug":"analiza-economiile-lumii-afectate-de-instabilitatea-geopolitica-si-viitoarele-alegeri-in-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/analiza-economiile-lumii-afectate-de-instabilitatea-geopolitica-si-viitoarele-alegeri-in-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiz\u0103. Economiile lumii, afectate de instabilitatea geopolitic\u0103 \u0219i viitoarele alegeri, \u00een 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"480\" height=\"300\" data-attachment-id=\"13089\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/analiza-economiile-lumii-afectate-de-instabilitatea-geopolitica-si-viitoarele-alegeri-in-2024\/zelenski-front\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?fit=480%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"480,300\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-title=\"zelenski-front\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?fit=480%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?resize=480%2C300&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-13089 lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 480px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 480\/300;width:482px;height:auto\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?w=480&amp;ssl=1 480w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?resize=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?resize=18%2C12&amp;ssl=1 18w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Riscurile geopolitice vor fi principala amenin\u021bare la adresa economiilor lumii \u00een 2024, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care r\u0103zboaiele pe scar\u0103 larg\u0103 se intersecteaz\u0103 cu o serie de alegeri cruciale \u00een interiorul marilor puteri mondiale, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-o analiz\u0103 CNBC. Institu\u021biile financiare din \u00eentreaga lume creioneaz\u0103 deja peisajul investi\u021bional pentru anul viitor \u0219i se a\u0219teapt\u0103 la un context geopolitic tot mai tensionat \u0219i la conflicte \u00eentre regiunile-cheie, fapt care va agrava incertitudinea \u0219i volatilitatea pie\u021bei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00centr-un sondaj de risc global realizat luna trecut\u0103 de Oxford Economics \u00een cadrul a 130 de companii, aproape dou\u0103 cincimi dintre responden\u021bi au considerat c\u0103 r\u0103zboiul dintre Israel \u0219i Hamas reprezint\u0103 un risc foarte important pentru economia global\u0103 \u00een urm\u0103torii doi ani. De asemenea, \u00eengrijor\u0103rile legate de rela\u021biile dintre China \u0219i Taiwan \u0219i dintre Rusia \u0219i NATO au fost la fel de r\u0103sp\u00e2ndite, iar tensiunile geopolitice au fost principala preocupare a mediului de afaceri at\u00e2t pe termen scurt, c\u00e2t \u0219i pe termen mediu. 62% dintre firme au men\u021bionat geopolitica drept un risc foarte important pentru economia global\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pe de alt\u0103 parte, \u0219i Fondul Monetar Interna\u021bional se a\u0219teapt\u0103 la o \u00eencetinire a cre\u0219terii economice globale p\u00e2n\u0103 la 2,9% \u00een 2024, pe fondul unor divergen\u021be tot mai mari \u00eentre regiuni. FMI preconizeaz\u0103 o cre\u0219tere mai puternic\u0103 \u00een SUA \u0219i pe marile pie\u021be emergente, \u00een timp ce China \u0219i zona euro ar putea avea dificult\u0103\u021bi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00cen perspectivele sale de investi\u021bii pentru 2024, Goldman Sachs Asset Management a notat c\u0103 alegerile din SUA, Marea Britanie, Africa de Sud, India, Taiwan \u0219i Rusia se vor ad\u0103uga la gama de riscuri ca economia mondial\u0103 s\u0103 se abat\u0103 de la traiectoria sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Cre\u0219terea tensiunilor geopolitice ar putea declan\u0219a mai multe restric\u021bii comerciale la nivel mondial, ceea ce ar duce la o mai mare fragmentare economic\u0103. Ne a\u0219tept\u0103m ca economiile s\u0103 continue s\u0103 investeasc\u0103 masiv \u00een securitatea lor economic\u0103 \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni \u0219i \u00een continuare&#8221;, au scris strategii. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opinia este \u00eemp\u0103rt\u0103\u0219it\u0103 \u0219i de Ronald Temple, strateg-\u0219ef de pia\u021b\u0103 la Lazard. &#8220;Conflictele \u0219i tensiunile geopolitice \u00een desf\u0103\u0219urare ar putea reduce \u0219i mai mult cre\u0219terea economic\u0103, ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd \u00een acela\u0219i timp presiuni infla\u021bioniste care scap\u0103 de sub controlul b\u0103ncilor centrale.&#8221; Temple a prezis c\u0103 r\u0103zboiul ruso-ucrainean se va prelungi \u0219i \u00een 2024, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce contraofensiva Kievului \u00ee\u0219i pierde din elan din cauza iernii \u0219i a incertitudinii privind ajutorul militar din Occident.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">C\u00e2t despre Orientul Mijlociu, cea mai &#8220;inflamabil\u0103 situa\u021bie&#8221;, crede Temple, ar fi o propagare a conflictului dintre Israel \u0219i Hamas \u00een statele din jur, inclusiv \u00een Iran, care ar putea &#8220;s\u0103 se transforme \u00eentr-un conflict regional cu implica\u021bii globale \u0219i militare&#8221;.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Riscurile geopolitice vor fi principala amenin\u021bare la adresa economiilor lumii \u00een 2024, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care r\u0103zboaiele pe scar\u0103 larg\u0103 se intersecteaz\u0103 cu o serie de alegeri cruciale \u00een interiorul marilor puteri mondiale, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-o analiz\u0103 CNBC. Institu\u021biile financiare din \u00eentreaga lume creioneaz\u0103 deja peisajul investi\u021bional pentru anul viitor [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13089,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"wpzoom_is_breaking":0,"source_url":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[9,17],"tags":[3246,3250,3248,3247,3249],"class_list":["post-13088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-actual","category-economic","tag-economiile-lumii","tag-instabilitate-economica","tag-previziuni-2024","tag-riscuri-geopolitice","tag-viitoarele-alegeri"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paH2fj-3p6","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/zelenski-front.jpeg?fit=480%2C300&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13088","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13088"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13088\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13090,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13088\/revisions\/13090"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13088"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13088"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13088"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}