{"id":10806,"date":"2019-09-03T12:50:03","date_gmt":"2019-09-03T09:50:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/?p=10806"},"modified":"2026-01-03T21:59:30","modified_gmt":"2026-01-03T19:59:30","slug":"semnalele-care-arata-ca-recesiunea-se-apropie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/semnalele-care-arata-ca-recesiunea-se-apropie\/","title":{"rendered":"Semnalele care arat\u0103 c\u0103 recesiunea se apropie"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-1 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"780\" height=\"440\" data-attachment-id=\"10807\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/semnalele-care-arata-ca-recesiunea-se-apropie\/recesiune-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?fit=780%2C440&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"780,440\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-title=\"Recesiune\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?fit=780%2C440&amp;ssl=1\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?resize=780%2C440&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"10807\" data-link=\"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/?attachment_id=10807\" class=\"wp-image-10807 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?w=780&amp;ssl=1 780w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?resize=768%2C433&amp;ssl=1 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 780px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 780\/440;\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">    Dac\u0103 SUA intr\u0103 sau nu \u00eentr-o recesiune, este \u00een mintea americanilor de pretutindeni. C\u0103ut\u0103rile pe google arat\u0103 c\u0103 temerile de recesiune au crescut semnificativ de la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul lunii iulie, c\u00e2nd Rezerva Federal\u0103 a redus ratele dob\u00e2nzii pentru prima dat\u0103 de la criza financiar\u0103, informeaz\u0103 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2019\/09\/02\/heres-a-list-of-recession-signals-that-are-flashing-red.html?fbclid=IwAR05YxS7qqZoaxq8Y3YLWlutxXzVW9eQcHIgLOJ6N_qgNLuYTaougzqY7Ng\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CNBC<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">    Datele cu a\u0219a numi\u021bii indicatori de recesiune care semnalizeaz\u0103 o \u00eencetinire economic\u0103 provocat\u0103 de o cre\u0219tere mai lent\u0103 \u00een str\u0103in\u0103tate \u0219i r\u0103zboiul comercial dintre SUA \u0219i China, ajung la investitori din toate unghiurile. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">   Economie global\u0103 care \u00eencetine\u0219te \u0219i \u00eenc\u0103 nu d\u0103 semne de revenire, preseaz\u0103 b\u0103ncile din str\u0103in\u0103tate s\u0103 reduc\u0103 ratele de \u00eemprumut la niveluri f\u0103r\u0103 precedent, iar r\u0103zboiul comercial dintre SUA \u0219i China c\u00e2nt\u0103re\u0219te aceste decizii. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">     Evaluarea acestor indicatori de recesiune nu este deloc u\u0219oar\u0103. Mul\u021bi economi\u0219ti, manageri \u0219i anali\u0219ti nu sunt de acord \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te s\u0103n\u0103tatea economiei americane \u0219i au \u00eendoieli \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te extinderea sa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Indicatorii de recesiune care se aprind pe ro\u0219u<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Pia\u021ba Obliga\u021biunilor<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">     Pe fondul sc\u0103derii ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor pe pia\u021ba larg\u0103 a obliga\u021biunilor din SUA , randamentul trezoreriei a sc\u0103zut de mai multe ori \u00een luna august. Pe o pia\u021b\u0103 s\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103, obliga\u021biunile pe termen lung au o rat\u0103 a dob\u00e2nzii mai mare, dec\u00e2t obliga\u021biunile pe termen scurt.Atunci c\u00e2nd obliga\u021biunile pe termen scurt ofer\u0103 un randament mai mare, este denumit\u0103 inversare a curbei de randament.Fenomenul pie\u021bei obliga\u021biunilor este istoric un semnal de \u00eencredere al unei eventuale recesiuni. Este precedentul ultimelor \u0219apte recesiuni.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>PIB-ul<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">    Produl intern brut din SUA \u00eencetine\u0219te. Potrivit Departamentului de Comer\u021b al SUA, PIB-ul \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 o cre\u0219tere de 2%, asta dup\u0103 ce \u00een primele trei luni ale anului era \u00een sc\u0103dere cu 3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Indicele Cass Freight<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">          Perspectiva economic\u0103 din perspectiva transportului de marf\u0103 este extrem de sumbr\u0103. Indicele Cass  a sc\u0103zut cu 5,9% \u00een iulie, dup\u0103 o sc\u0103dere de 5,3% \u00een iunie \u0219i o sc\u0103dere de 6% \u00een mai. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Cuprul<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">    Cuprul,  \u00een economie, este cunoscut ca un barometru al s\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u021bii economice, datorit\u0103 utiliz\u0103rii sale \u00een construc\u021bii de case \u0219i construc\u021bii comerciale. Marfa a sc\u0103zut cu peste 13% \u00een ultima jum\u0103tate de an. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Aurul<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">    Pre\u021burile aurului au crescut cu peste 20% din mai, c\u00e2nd SUA \u0219i China au escaladat r\u0103zboiul comercial. Similar cu obliga\u021biunile guvernamentale, aurul este cunoscut ca un comer\u021b de refugiu \u00een condi\u021bii de incertitudine economic\u0103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Indicele de incertitudine al politicii economice globale<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">      Indicele de incertitudine a politicii economice, un indice conceput pentru a m\u0103sura grijile legate de politici din \u00eentreaga lume, a atins cel mai \u00eenalt nivel, 342 \u00een luna iunie. <\/p>\n\n\n<p><strong>Daca ti-a placut acest articol, te asteptam sa intri in comunitatea de cititori de pe pagina noastra de Facebook, printr-un Like mai jos:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><iframe style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden;\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/like.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fbusinessexpressro&amp;width=300&amp;layout=standard&amp;action=like&amp;show_faces=true&amp;share=false&amp;height=80&amp;appId\" width=\"300\" height=\"80\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" data-load-mode=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dac\u0103 SUA intr\u0103 sau nu \u00eentr-o recesiune, este \u00een mintea americanilor de pretutindeni. C\u0103ut\u0103rile pe google arat\u0103 c\u0103 temerile de recesiune au crescut semnificativ de la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul lunii iulie, c\u00e2nd Rezerva Federal\u0103 a redus ratele dob\u00e2nzii pentru prima dat\u0103 de la criza financiar\u0103, informeaz\u0103 CNBC. Datele cu a\u0219a numi\u021bii indicatori [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10807,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"wpzoom_is_breaking":1,"source_url":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[17,363],"tags":[2267,2883,2882,1398,2884,2516,2886,356],"class_list":["post-10806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economic","category-market","tag-criza-financiara","tag-economia-globala","tag-indicii-majori-de-recesiune","tag-pib","tag-razboiul-comercial-dintre-sua-si-china","tag-recesiune","tag-sanatatea-economiei-americane","tag-sua"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paH2fj-2Oi","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/businessexpress.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Recesiune.jpg?fit=780%2C440&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10806"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10806\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10924,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10806\/revisions\/10924"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/businessexpress.ro\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}